Based on MOE's own historical vacancy and balloting data, here's FERNVALE PRIMARY SCHOOL's Primary 1 (P1) registration outlook for each phase of the registration exercise.
For a child who has a sibling already studying at this school.
In 2025, FERNVALE PRIMARY SCHOOL's Phase 1 popularity index was 0.47× (220 vacancies for 103 applicants) — fewer children applied than there were places, so every applicant got in.
| Year | Vacancies | Applicants | Result | Balloted | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 220 | 103 | 103/103 (100%) | No | — |
| 2024 | 220 | 89 | 89/89 (100%) | No | — |
| 2023 | 180 | 77 | 77/77 (100%) | No | — |
| 2022 | 180 | 92 | 92/92 (100%) | No | — |
| 2021 | 240 | 80 | 80/80 (100%) | No | — |
For a child whose parent or sibling is a former student of the school, whose parent sits on the School Advisory/Management Committee or is school staff, or who attends the school's MOE Kindergarten.
In 2026, FERNVALE PRIMARY SCHOOL's Phase 2A popularity index was 0.32× (97 vacancies for 31 applicants) — fewer children applied than there were places, so every applicant got in. Applicant figure is Straits Times' own estimate for a school that did not ballot - MOE had not yet published an official count at scrape time.
| Year | Vacancies | Applicants | Result | Balloted | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 97 | 31 | 31/31 (100%) | No | — |
| 2025 | 117 | 20 | 20/20 (100%) | No | — |
| 2024 | 131 | 28 | 28/28 (100%) | No | — |
| 2023 | 103 | 35 | 35/35 (100%) | No | — |
| 2022 | 88 | 35 | 35/35 (100%) | No | — |
| 2021 | 160 | 0 | — | No | — |
For a child whose parent has volunteered 40+ hours at the school, is endorsed by a church/clan linked to the school, or is an active grassroots leader.
In 2025, FERNVALE PRIMARY SCHOOL's Phase 2B popularity index was 0.02× (52 vacancies for 1 applicants) — fewer children applied than there were places, so every applicant got in.
| Year | Vacancies | Applicants | Result | Balloted | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 0 | — | No | — |
| 2025 | 52 | 1 | 1/1 (100%) | No | — |
| 2024 | 54 | 1 | 1/1 (100%) | No | — |
| 2023 | 43 | 0 | — | No | — |
| 2022 | 38 | 1 | 1/1 (100%) | No | — |
| 2021 | 160 | 53 | 53/53 (100%) | No | — |
Open registration for any child not yet registered at a primary school. Priority is by home-school distance.
In 2026, FERNVALE PRIMARY SCHOOL's Phase 2C popularity index was 0.67× (126 vacancies for 85 applicants) — fewer children applied than there were places, so every applicant got in.
| Year | Vacancies | Applicants | Result | Balloted | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 126 | 85 | 85/85 (100%) | No | — |
| 2025 | 156 | 72 | 72/72 (100%) | No | — |
| 2024 | 162 | 96 | 96/96 (100%) | No | — |
| 2023 | 129 | 80 | 80/80 (100%) | No | — |
| 2022 | 113 | 78 | 78/78 (100%) | No | — |
| 2021 | 74 | 0 | — | No | — |
For children still not registered anywhere after Phase 2C, at schools that still have vacancies.
In 2026, FERNVALE PRIMARY SCHOOL's Phase 2C Supplementary popularity index was 0.40× (43 vacancies for 17 applicants) — fewer children applied than there were places, so every applicant got in.
| Year | Vacancies | Applicants | Result | Balloted | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 17 | 17/17 (100%) | No | — |
| 2025 | 85 | 38 | 38/38 (100%) | No | — |
| 2024 | 66 | 69 | 66/69 (96%) | Yes | SC >2km |
| 2023 | 49 | 56 | 49/56 (88%) | Yes | SC <1km |
| 2022 | 35 | 77 | 35/77 (45%) | Yes | SC <1km |
| 2021 | 148 | 81 | 81/81 (100%) | No | — |
Want to check your own odds based on your postal code and citizenship? Try the interactive P1 School Chance Calculator. See other schools in SENG KANG.